Güncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 90%
Tahminciler
41
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
4 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis19 Nis 25 12:36 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Humanoid robot kills human in Ukrain war in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill I (@Bayesian) see a humanoid robot in person, in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Chinese humanoid robot companies ship 50x more units than US companies by EOY 2026
Manifold MarketsWill a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?
KalshiBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
PolymarketTop Chinese AI Company week of September 7th
KalshiKurallar
Resolution criteria:
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if, before January 1, 2027, a humanoid robot completes a full marathon (42.195 kilometers) in a time faster than the current official human marathon world record.
- The current men's marathon world record is 2 hours, 0 minutes, and 35 seconds, set by Kelvin Kiptum at the Chicago Marathon on October 8, 2023.
- The current women's marathon world record is 2 hours, 9 minutes, and 56 seconds, set by Ruth Chepngetich at the Chicago Marathon on October 13, 2024.
- For the purpose of this market, the robot must complete the marathon in a time faster than 2:00:35.
- The robot's performance must be officially documented and recognized by a reputable organization or governing body in the field of robotics or athletics.
Açık piyasalar
ChinaPOLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No96%
- Yes4%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺2 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺5,3 Mn
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No+0.3pt96%
- Yes-0.3pt4%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺634,1 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺2,1 Mn
POLYMARKETWill Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- October 31+1.6pt98%
- December 31+1.4pt97%
- September 30+0.5pt95%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- No+0.5pt73%
- Yes-0.5pt27%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺20,1 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺758,1 B
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
- 26°C+11.0pt55.6%
- 27°C+5.5pt25%
- 25°C-9.5pt7.4%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- No+1.0pt89.1%
- Yes-1.0pt10.9%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺150,4 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺621,7 B
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
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- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
- How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Kinmen County Magistrate Election Winner
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
- Miaoli County Magistrate Election Winner
- Will Xi Jinping visit the United States?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Humanoid robot breaks human marathon record before 2027? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 90% fiyatlıyor.
- Humanoid robot breaks human marathon record before 2027? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Humanoid robot breaks human marathon record before 2027? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2026.
- Humanoid robot breaks human marathon record before 2027? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution criteria: