Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 94%
Tahminciler
10
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
7 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis15 Mar 26 02:20 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
A Humanoid Robot Kills a Human by 2028
Manifold MarketsHumanoid robot breaks human marathon record before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill I (@Bayesian) see a humanoid robot in person, in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?
KalshiConservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026?
PolymarketWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketKurallar
Resolution Criteria
- As of 2026, no fully humanoid robot has been deployed in direct combat operations.
- This market resolves YES if a humanoid robot (defined as a bipedal, human-shaped autonomous or semi-autonomous machine) directly kills a human combatant or civilian in Ukraine during 2026.
- Resolution requires credible documentation from established news sources confirming the death was caused by a humanoid robot's actions.
- The robot must be deployed in Ukraine and actively engaged in combat or combat-adjacent operations.
- Accidental deaths caused by mechanical failure or mishandling do not count.
Açık piyasalar
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+6.0pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.6pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,2 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺23,9 Mn
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.5pt48.3%
- October 31-1.0pt29.2%
- September 30-2.0pt11.7%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+2.0pt80%
- September 18+2.0pt75%
- September 11+10.0pt70%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No96%
- Yes4%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺2 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺5,3 Mn
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Yulia Navalnaya8%
- UNRWA+0.2pt8%
- International Court of Justice+0.8pt6%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Iran full airspace closure by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Humanoid robot kills human in Ukrain war in 2026? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 94% fiyatlıyor.
- Humanoid robot kills human in Ukrain war in 2026? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Humanoid robot kills human in Ukrain war in 2026? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2026.
- Humanoid robot kills human in Ukrain war in 2026? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution Criteria