How will the structural similarity of the three frontier AI safety frameworks (Anthropic RSP, OpenAI Preparedness, GDM F

MiningOne-OffYZ Teknoloji11ay

Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibre

Veri kalitesi uyarısıEski veriler

19 Tem 2026 05:20 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-3

Güncel topluluk tahmini

Converge — similarity score ≥ 22/30 52.9%+19.6pt

3 seçenek arasında lider

Tahminciler

Soru türü

multiple choice

Yöntem

Play-money forecasting platform

Kaynak türü

Tahmin

Piyasa verileri

10 gün önce guncellendi

Guncelligini yitirmis

18 Tem 26 3:5230 Haz 27 4:59

Trendler

Sonuç24sOlasılık

Yalnızca sanal bakiye, gerçek para yokYatırım tavsiyesi değildir

Seçilen sonuç

Converge — similarity score ≥ 22/3053%

Tutar (USDT)

Kurallar

Resolves to the option matching the total pairwise structural similarity score of the endpoint snapshot (frameworks as published on 2027-06-30), per the pre-registered coding scheme published at Audit Motion 003|三大前沿安全框架,正在收斂還是分化?

Baseline (2026-07-18): 19/30.
Scoring: 5 dimensions (capability threshold definition, deployment-halt triggers, external verification role, disclosure obligations, amendment governance) × 3 framework pairs (Anthropic–OpenAI, Anthropic–GDM, OpenAI–GDM), each scored 0–2.
Converge = ≥ 22 (baseline +3); Diverge = ≤ 16 (baseline −3); No significant change = 17–21.
The coding scheme, per-cell criteria, and baseline scores were published before market creation and are frozen.
Endpoint scoring uses identical criteria.

Hacim trendi

$603

18 Tem2g veri19 Tem

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Kurallar

Baseline (2026-07-18): 19/30.
Scoring: 5 dimensions (capability threshold definition, deployment-halt triggers, external verification role, disclosure obligations, amendment governance) × 3 framework pairs (Anthropic–OpenAI, Anthropic–GDM, OpenAI–GDM), each scored 0–2.
Converge = ≥ 22 (baseline +3); Diverge = ≤ 16 (baseline −3); No significant change = 17–21.
The coding scheme, per-cell criteria, and baseline scores were published before market creation and are frozen.
Endpoint scoring uses identical criteria.

How will the structural similarity of the three frontier AI safety frameworks (Anthropic RSP, OpenAI Preparedness, GDM F

MiningOne-OffYZ Teknoloji11ay

Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibre

Veri kalitesi uyarısıEski veriler

19 Tem 2026 05:20 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-3

Güncel topluluk tahmini

Converge — similarity score ≥ 22/30 52.9%+19.6pt

3 seçenek arasında lider

Tahminciler

Soru türü

multiple choice

Yöntem

Play-money forecasting platform

Kaynak türü

Tahmin

Piyasa verileri

10 gün önce guncellendi

Guncelligini yitirmis

18 Tem 26 3:5230 Haz 27 4:59

Trendler

Sonuç24sOlasılık

Yalnızca sanal bakiye, gerçek para yokYatırım tavsiyesi değildir

Seçilen sonuç

Converge — similarity score ≥ 22/3053%

Tutar (USDT)

Kurallar

Baseline (2026-07-18): 19/30.
Scoring: 5 dimensions (capability threshold definition, deployment-halt triggers, external verification role, disclosure obligations, amendment governance) × 3 framework pairs (Anthropic–OpenAI, Anthropic–GDM, OpenAI–GDM), each scored 0–2.
Converge = ≥ 22 (baseline +3); Diverge = ≤ 16 (baseline −3); No significant change = 17–21.
The coding scheme, per-cell criteria, and baseline scores were published before market creation and are frozen.
Endpoint scoring uses identical criteria.

Hacim trendi

$603

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Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?

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Bu konularda aktif

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EthereumETH$1,918.94+1.68%

SolanaSOL$74.04+0.80%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0708+0.49%

BNBBNB$570.75+0.93%

XRPXRP$1.09+2.69%

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Kurallar

Baseline (2026-07-18): 19/30.
Scoring: 5 dimensions (capability threshold definition, deployment-halt triggers, external verification role, disclosure obligations, amendment governance) × 3 framework pairs (Anthropic–OpenAI, Anthropic–GDM, OpenAI–GDM), each scored 0–2.
Converge = ≥ 22 (baseline +3); Diverge = ≤ 16 (baseline −3); No significant change = 17–21.
The coding scheme, per-cell criteria, and baseline scores were published before market creation and are frozen.
Endpoint scoring uses identical criteria.