Will AI break blockchain mechanism before EOY ?
EthereumOne-OffBitcoinYZCoinbaseKriptoKripto BorsalarıMadencilik2ay
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 89.1%
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7
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
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Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
1 saat önce güncellendi
Gecikmeli15 Eki 26 17:34 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, before December 31 at 11:59 PM UTC, a confirmed security advisory, peer-reviewed publication, or public proof-of-concept demonstrates that an AI system or AI-derived mathematical algorithm has broken a core cryptographic primitive or consensus mechanism of a major public blockchain (e.g., Bitcoin or Ethereum).
- To resolve to YES, the event must satisfy at least one of the following criteria:
- Private Key Recovery: A practical method derived via AI that allows recovering a private key from an exposed public key for standard signature schemes (e.g., ECDSA or Schnorr) using available classical hardware.
- Hash Function Break: A viable preimage or collision attack against hash functions used by major chains (e.g., SHA-256 or Keccak-256) enabled by AI mathematical breakthroughs.
- Consensus Break: A functional protocol-level attack generated or executed via AI that breaks double-spend protection or block validation on a top-20 cryptocurrency network without acquiring majority hash power or stake.
