Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini6-10 years 20.6%7 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
21
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
8 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis26 Ağu 25 17:57 UTC26 Ağu 45 17:49 UTC
Trendler
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PolymarketKurallar
Time will start from the day of the wedding (if no reception, then day of court house marriage license) until date of official public announcement or official reporting of a divorce.
- Rumors and "separations" don't count, needs to be actual divorce filing.
- A full year needs to occur to make it into next category (e.g. 5 years and 10 months would be "the named outcome")
- Update 2025-10-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - If either or both spouses die while still married (before any divorce filing), the market will resolve to N/A (void).
