Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiOther 53.5%4 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
17
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
1 saat önce güncellendi
Gecikmeli5 Eki 25 18:48 UTC11 Oca 70 18:36 UTC
Trendler
Kurallar
Resolves "the named outcome" if, while still married, it appears that Taylor & Travis will be immortal (e.g. life expectancy increasing at a rate of more than one year per year, sustained for an extended period of time) and they credibly commit to never breaking up (e.g. by self-modification).
- Resolves "the named outcome" if the marriage breaks up and there is any hint of acrimony.
- (I will be fairly generous in what qualifies for this, since the public view will be heavily filtered.
- If there aren't public indications that they're still friendly, it's probably gone down in flames.
- As a point of reference, the Joe Alwyn breakup would qualify as going down in flames.)
- Resolves "the named outcome" upon credible reporting that they have split before getting married (regardless of whether they later get back together).
Açık piyasalar
Entertainment
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺10,1 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺5,1 Mn
POLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+6.5pt73.3%
- 940 - 950m-5.5pt22.8%
- 970m++0.6pt2%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+15.0pt57%
- Jack Barton-13.0pt21%
- Callum Turner-10.0pt16%
+27 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺102,2 Mn
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+29.4pt51.4%
- No Bond chosen-3.9pt18.1%
- Jack Barton-4.5pt7.6%
+21 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-58.0pt16%
- Above 50-61.0pt4%
- Above 55-51.0pt2%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺4,6 Mn
KALSHIOscar Winner: Best Picture
- The Odyssey-3.0pt39.2%
- Dune: Part Three-1.0pt9.6%
- The Black Ball-1.0pt8.8%
+35 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺238,3 Mn
- Big Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Lead Actor in a Comedy Series
Sık sorulan sorular
- How will Taylor Swift & Travis Kelce's marriage end? (alternate) için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Other için 54% fiyatlıyor.
- How will Taylor Swift & Travis Kelce's marriage end? (alternate) ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- How will Taylor Swift & Travis Kelce's marriage end? (alternate) için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 11 Ocak 2070.
- How will Taylor Swift & Travis Kelce's marriage end? (alternate) nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolves "the named outcome" if, while still married, it appears that Taylor & Travis will be immortal (e.g. life expectancy increasing at a rate of more than one year per year, sustained for an extended period of time) and they credibly commit to never breaking up (e.g. by self-modification).