Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 85.4%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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4 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis27 Eyl 26 03:32 UTC31 Ara 29 23:59 UTC
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PolymarketWho will be arrested before 2027?
PolymarketKurallar
Resolves yes if there is one public execution held with a guillotine by 2030 with video evidence.
- Update 2026-09-27 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The execution must meet the following criteria:
- Can occur anywhere in the world.
- Must be a judicial action.
- Must be held in public and ceremonially by a domestic actor for a domestic audience.
- Snuff films and ISIS-style videos do not count.
