Güncel topluluk tahmini
Before 2027-01-01 96.3%+8.3pt8 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
12
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
+8.3 pts
Piyasa verileri
4 dakika önce güncellendi
31 Ağu 26 14:57 UTC1 Oca 27 04:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
GLM 5.5 (Z.ai) release date
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KalshiClaude Fable 5.2+ (Anthropic) release date
Manifold MarketsKurallar
The '+' means any version at or above 5.4 counts: if Z.ai skips 5.4 and releases GLM 5.5 or GLM 6, that still counts for the purpose of this market.
- Minor changes to the name, or other names for a model generally expected to be called GLM 5.4, will also count.
- The model must be accessible without individual vetting or invitation — free or paid, via API or product.
- Open, non-selective waitlists count.
- Closed betas, invite-only access, researcher programs, A/B tests, and anonymous benchmark appearances do not.
- Country-level bans do not prevent resolution.
Tahmin Kaynağı Karşılaştırması
- Polymarket üzerinde de mevcut — Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by...? · October 31 30%
