Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiBefore 2027-02-16 98%10 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
77
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
5 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis5 Eyl 26 16:27 UTC16 Şub 27 04:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Claude Fable 5.6+ (Anthropic) release date
Manifold MarketsWhen will Anthropic release its next Claude Fable model (newer than Fable 5.1)?
Manifold MarketsWill any model at least as good as Claude Fable 5 and 10x cheaper be released by the end of March 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhat version number will Anthropic's next Claude Fable model carry? (released by Nov 30, 2026)
Manifold MarketsWhat will Claude Fable's output token price hit in 2026?
PolymarketClaude Fable 5.2+: Output Token Price Debut?
PolymarketKurallar
The '+' means any version at or above 5.2 counts: if Anthropic skips 5.2 and releases Claude Fable 5.3 or Fable 6, that still counts for the purpose of this market.
- Minor changes to the name, or other names for a model generally expected to be called Claude Fable 5.2, will also count.
- The model must be accessible without individual vetting or invitation — free or paid, via API or product.
- Open, non-selective waitlists count.
- Closed betas, invite-only access, researcher programs, A/B tests, and anonymous benchmark appearances do not.
- Country-level bans do not prevent resolution.
