Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 93.8%
Tahminciler
26
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
2 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis24 Kas 23 17:25 UTC1 Oca 40 08:00 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory?
Manifold MarketsWill the VLA15 Lyme Disease vaccine "pass" its phase 3 human trial?
Manifold MarketsDid HIV come from a laboratory?
Manifold MarketsWhich countries will report an Ebola disease case before October?
KalshiHow many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?
PolymarketNew pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketKurallar
This market resolves once we have a definitive answer to this question.
- (i.e. "I've looked at all notable evidence presented by both sides and have upwards of 98% confidence that a certain conclusion is correct, and it doesn't seem likely that any further relevant evidence will be forthcoming any time soon.")
- This will likely not occur until many years after Lyme disease is no longer a subject of active political contention, and motivations for various actors to distort or hide inconvenient evidence have died down.
- I will be conferring with the community extensivly before resolving this market, to ensure I haven't missed anything and aren't being overconfident in one direction or another.
- (For comparison, the level of evidence in favor of anthropogenic climate change would be sufficient, despite the existance of a few doubts here and there.)
- If we never reach a point where I can safely be that confident either way, it'll remain open indefinitely.
Açık piyasalar
SportsKALSHISabalenka vs Noskova
- Aryna Sabalenka-7.0pt62.4%
- Linda Noskova+7.0pt37.6%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺715,8 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺685 Mn
POLYMARKETCounter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A
- 2 Winner+33.0pt100%
- O/U 2.5 Games+57.0pt100%
- 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)100%
+29 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona18.1%
- Arsenal15.2%
- Paris Saint-Germain13.3%
+33 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,4 Mr
KALSHIClub Brugge vs Aston Villa
- Aston Villa+50.0pt87.3%
- Tie-17.0pt9.8%
- Club Brugge-32.0pt2.9%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺127,7 Mn
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova Quarter Finals match
- Aryna Sabalenka72.6%
- Linda Noskova27.4%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺878,2 B
- 24s Hacim
- ₺108,8 Mn
KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Carlos Alcaraz57%
- Alexander Zverev+4.0pt26%
- Ben Shelton9%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,4 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺106,6 Mn
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Villarreal CF
- US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova
- Tiafoe vs Michelsen
- Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco Ferrari
- 2027 Pro Football Champion
- MLB: Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers (Sep 7, 2026)
- MLB: New York Mets vs Miami Marlins (Sep 7, 2026)
- Amgen Irish Open Winner
- Real Madrid vs Inter
- MLB: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Kansas City Royals (Sep 7, 2026)
- Waltert vs Masarova
- US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen
Sık sorulan sorular
- Did Lyme disease come from a laboratory? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 94% fiyatlıyor.
- Did Lyme disease come from a laboratory? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Did Lyme disease come from a laboratory? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2040.
- Did Lyme disease come from a laboratory? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This market resolves once we have a definitive answer to this question.