Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 64.8%
Tahminciler
4
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
9 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis4 Ağu 26 18:40 UTC31 Ara 28 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
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KalshiKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, at any point before January 1, 2029, a single cyberattack or single coordinated cyberattack campaign is estimated to have caused $30 billion (USD) or more in total damages or economic losses.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Definition of a "Cyberattack": The incident must be a malicious, intentional intrusion, disruption, or exploitation of computer systems, networks, or operational technology by a threat actor (such as ransomware, wiper malware, malware-led supply chain compromises, or state-sponsored infrastructure attacks).
- Non-malicious IT failures, accidental software updates, or hardware malfunctions (e.g., the July 2024 CrowdStrike outage) do not qualify.
- Coordinated Campaign: A series of closely related intrusions using the same malware strain, targeting the identical vulnerability, or executed by the same threat group within a defined timeframe (analogous to the NotPetya or WannaCry campaigns of 2017) will count as a single cyberattack.
Açık piyasalar
TechKALSHIGuyana Amazon Warriors vs Antigua And Barbuda Falcons
- Guyana Amazon Warriors-5.0pt58.4%
- Antigua And Barbuda Falcons+4.0pt41.6%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺66,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺62,5 Mn
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+72.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-25.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-10.0pt1%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+37.0pt99%
- Houston+67.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+13.0pt99%
+19 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+57.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-4.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-46.0pt1%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
- $69,500 or above98%
+47 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺63 Mn
- 24s Hacim
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+6.0pt34%
- 160-179+4.0pt26.2%
- 200-219-3.0pt17.5%
+23 daha fazla sonuç
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- Elon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
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- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 8, 2026?
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
- Next James Bond actor?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will a cyberattack cause ≥$30B of damage before 2029? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 65% fiyatlıyor.
- Will a cyberattack cause ≥$30B of damage before 2029? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will a cyberattack cause ≥$30B of damage before 2029? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2028.
- Will a cyberattack cause ≥$30B of damage before 2029? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution criteria