Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
>=2035 50.8%11 seçenek arasında lider
>=2035 50.8%Tahminciler
21
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
19 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis17 Şub 24 19:14 UTC2 Oca 35 05:59 UTC
Trendler
Kurallar
By which year will I be unable to find work in any industry (incl. as management or startup founder)?
- The operationalization of "virtually" is TBD, but refers mostly to the relative value of labor vs. capital.
- If ~99.999% of the world's economic output is generated by machines and I can only find work as a an office adornment for some sentimental tech emperor that would suffice to resolve the market, even if technically I'm making more than I make in 2023, because global GDP has increased a dozen orders of magnitude.
- This market will be resolved in the "spirit of the question" and is about economic conditions, not my personal fate.
- If I die or suffer a catastrophic loss of skills/mental faculties, this market resolves N/A, not affirmatively.
