By what factor will the cost per token of "Gemini 3 Pro equivalent" intelligence change this year?
YZ3ayManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini< 0.05x 35.4%6 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
10
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
15 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis2 Şub 26 01:41 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
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Intelligence bar
- "Gemini 3 Pro equivalent intelligence" is defined as any commercially available model scoring the same as Gemini 3 Pro on ECI or better
- Currently this is 154, but the bar will track any changes in ECI methodology that might change the 3 Pro score.
- Cost is defined as the price for 1m input tokens plus 1m output tokens for the cheapest model that passes the quality bar, at the generally-available API pricing tier for that model.
- At time of writing, 3-pro preview costs $2/Mtok input plus $12/Mtok output, so $14 is the reference cost basis.
- E.g. a future qualifying model that costs $1/Mtok input plus $3/MTok output would resolve as 4/14 = 0.286... thus 0.2x-0.5x.
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Sık sorulan sorular
- By what factor will the cost per token of "Gemini 3 Pro equivalent" intelligence change this year? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla < 0.05x için 35% fiyatlıyor.
- By what factor will the cost per token of "Gemini 3 Pro equivalent" intelligence change this year? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- By what factor will the cost per token of "Gemini 3 Pro equivalent" intelligence change this year? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2026.
- By what factor will the cost per token of "Gemini 3 Pro equivalent" intelligence change this year? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Intelligence bar