Güncel ima edilen olasılık
40%+ 89%4 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
37 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
₺40,4 B
Likidite
₺121,6 B
Orta likiditeSpread
22.0 pt
Geniş spreadYorumlar
0
7g Değişim
-7.5 pts
Piyasa verileri
9 dakika önce güncellendi
29 Tem 26 23:18 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
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Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
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Manifold MarketsBy what factor will the cost per token of "Gemini 3 Pro equivalent" intelligence change this year?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Humanity’s Last Exam results at https://agi.safe.ai/ has an HLE Accuracy of at least the specified percentage at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the site.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- If a model first appears on the site but is removed before 12:00 PM ET on the following calendar date, its appearance will not qualify as added to the Humanity’s Last Exam results.
- Any Gemini model labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview).
- Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
- Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.