Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEvet 57.8%
Tahminciler
14
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
17 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis30 Tem 25 23:27 UTC4 Oca 27 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Who will be arrested in 2026?
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PolymarketSinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by which date?
PolymarketWill Tucker Carlson be arrested in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill any Epstein client be arrested in 2026?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
Any time between when they win their primary or are otherwise formally confirmed as their party's candidate, and when they take office.
- Arrest required; handcuffs, perp walk, and mug shot optional.
- Update 2025-07-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified what constitutes an 'arrest' for this market:
- An arrest does not require handcuffs, a perp walk, or a mug shot.
- An arrest confirmed via legal proceedings but without these public elements (e.g., Caroline Ellison's arrest) will count.
- Being handcuffed and taken away in a cop car is considered sufficient to count as an arrest.
Sık sorulan sorular
- 2026 Congressional candidate arrested? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 9 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 58% fiyatlıyor.
- 2026 Congressional candidate arrested? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- 2026 Congressional candidate arrested? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 4 Ocak 2027.
- 2026 Congressional candidate arrested? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Any time between when they win their primary or are otherwise formally confirmed as their party's candidate, and when they take office.