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Evet 83.8%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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5 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis24 Mar 23 15:02 UTC1 Oca 00 05:00 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
By at least 10 years before human-level AGI is built, debate about AGI risk will be as mainstream as global warming is in 2015
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Manifold MarketsWill global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2026, according to Berkeley Earth?
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Manifold MarketsKurallar
One of the questions from https://jacyanthis.com/big-questions.
- Resolves according to my judgement of whether the criteria have been met, taking into account clarifications from @JacyAnthis, who made those predictions.
- (The goal is that they'd feel comfortable betting to their credance in this market, so I want the resolution criteria to match their intention.)
