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26 Ağu 26 13:05 UTC1 Oca 27 04:59 UTC
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PolymarketWill Trump/USA buy or acquire part of Greenland?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump buy at least part of Greenland?
KalshiWhat countries will acquire sovereign territory or economic rights within any part of Greenland in 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS acquires part of Greenland in 2026?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States acquires control of any land territory that is part of Greenland by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only the transfer of sovereignty, or the acquisition of primary or exclusive jurisdiction or control qualifies.
1.
- Transfer of Sovereignty: This will qualify if a binding agreement or legal instrument results in a defined area of Greenland coming under the formal sovereignty of the U.S. (e.g., incorporated as a U.S. state, territory, possession, or other U.S. political classification), even if the effective date occurs after the market deadline.
2.
- Acquisition of Primary or Exclusive Jurisdiction or Control: This will qualify if a binding agreement or legal instrument establishes a defined area in Greenland in which the U.S. has primary or exclusive jurisdiction or control over the territory, such that the ordinary legal authority of Denmark and Greenland do not apply,except by U.S. permission.
- Such agreements or instruments will qualify even if the effective date occurs after the market deadline.
3.
- Use of Force: If the U.S. acquires primary or exclusive jurisdiction or control over a defined area of Greenland through force, this will also qualify.
An announcement will qualify only if it is accompanied by or consists of a binding agreement or legal instrument (e.g., enacted legislation, a signed treaty, the signed text of an agreement, or an executive action implementing such an agreement) that unambiguously creates a transfer of sovereignty, or primary or exclusive jurisdiction or control, even if this transfer or acquisition takes effect after the market deadline.
Non-binding statements, negotiations, proposals, frameworks, or MOUs will not alone qualify.
Tahmin Kaynağı Karşılaştırması
- Futuur üzerinde de mevcut — Will the US control part of Greenland in 2026? · No 90%
- Manifold Markets üzerinde de mevcut — US buys Greenland in 2026? · No 98%
- Polymarket üzerinde de mevcut — Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No 97%
- PredictIt üzerinde de mevcut — Will the US purchase Greenland in 2026? · No 98%