KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Democratic by 9.0% or more 19.1%20 seçenek arasında liderMarj düzeltmeli: platformun ham fiyatları %100 üzerinde toplandığı için normalize edildi.
Piyasa kalitesi
63 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺22,6 B
Likidite
₺1,9 Mn
Yüksek likiditeSpread
3.0 pt
Orta spreadPiyasa verileri
7 dakika önce güncellendi
20 May 26 18:00 UTC6 May 29 15:00 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
Kalshi2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
PolymarketNZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?
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Manifold Markets[Metaculus] Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach majority in the Electoral college before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhich Party will win the House popular vote in 2026?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
If a member of the Democratic Party wins the popular vote in 2028 by a margin of between 9.00-100.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:United States Congress
- The popular vote margin is calculated as (total votes for the winner minus total votes for second place) divided by total votes, times 100, rounded to two decimal places.
- The calculation uses the states' and DC's most recent certificates of ascertainment of presidential election results as of the date of the January joint session of Congress.
- If multiple certificates of ascertainment are sent to Congress for a state, the one Congress counts is used.
- If Congress rejects all certificates for a state, the most recently issued one is used.
- Votes cast for a candidate under multiple party nominations are aggregated.
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Sık sorulan sorular
- 2028 popular vote margin of victory? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Kalshi, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Democratic by 9.0% or more için 19% fiyatlıyor.
- 2028 popular vote margin of victory? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- 2028 popular vote margin of victory? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 6 Mayıs 2029.
- 2028 popular vote margin of victory? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Kalshi bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If a member of the Democratic Party wins the popular vote in 2028 by a margin of between 9.00-100.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.