KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreVeri kalitesi uyarısıİşlem etkinliği yok
17 Eyl 2026 20:55 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-3
Güncel ima edilen olasılık
Before 2027 0%6 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
29 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
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Likidite
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Likidite bilinmiyorSpread
8.0 pt
Geniş spreadPiyasa verileri
3 dakika önce güncellendi
12 Eyl 26 22:00 UTC7 Oca 27 15:00 UTC
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Manifold MarketsKurallar
If Yang-Mills Existence and Mass Gap Problem in its official Clay Mathematics Institute formulation is resolved before Jan 1, 2027 under the Payout Criterion and that resolution has not been retracted, withdrawn, repudiated, or rescinded prior to the Expiration time, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:The Washington PostThe Economistthe Clay Mathematics Institutethe New York TimesBloomberg NewsThe Wall Street Journalthe American Mathematical Societythe International Mathematical UnionThe Guardianthe Associated PressReuters
- For purposes of this Contract, Yang-Mills Existence and Mass Gap Problem in its official Clay Mathematics Institute formulation is considered resolved if at least one of the following occurs and has not been retracted, withdrawn, repudiated, or rescinded prior to the Expiration time:
- A peer-reviewed article presenting a complete proof, a complete disproof, or a counterexample establishing the falsity of the conjecture, in the conjecture's original form as specified by the Exchange at Issuance, has been published in one or more Source Agency peer-reviewed journals.
- A recognized authoritative body for the academic field of the conjecture, including but not limited to Clay Mathematics Institute, the American Mathematical Society, the International Mathematical Union, a national academy of sciences, the Nobel Foundation, or an equivalent governing or recognition body for the relevant academic field, has officially recognized in a written communication that the conjecture, in its original form as specified by the Exchange at Issuance, has been resolved by reference to a specific written work.
- At least two Source Agencies have published reporting describing the conjecture, in its original form as specified by the Exchange at Issuance, as having been proven, disproven, or otherwise resolved by reference to a specific publicly available written work, and no Source Agency has, prior to the Expiration time, published reporting that such written work has been formally retracted by its author(s) or by any publishing journal, has been formally withdrawn or repudiated by its author(s), or contains an identified error that has not been publicly corrected or addressed by the author(s) in a subsequent publication or amendment.
- If Yang-Mills Existence and Mass Gap Problem in its official Clay Mathematics Institute formulation is resolved before Jan 1, 2028 under the Payout Criterion and that resolution has not been retracted, withdrawn, repudiated, or rescinded prior to the Expiration time, then the market resolves to Yes.
Açık piyasalar
Science
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- December 31-0.7pt4%
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+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺3,3 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺6 Mn
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 202921%
- Before 2028+1.0pt13%
- Before 2027-0.8pt5%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
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KALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
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- Before 2030-9.1pt62%
- Before 2029-7.9pt17%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
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POLYMARKETWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- 1-2.0pt74.8%
- 2+0.5pt24.2%
- 3-0.1pt1%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Yes+3.4pt77%
- No23%
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- Above 0+2.0pt34%
- Above 1+4.0pt18%
- Above 2-2.0pt4%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
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Sık sorulan sorular
- When will Yang–Mills and the Mass Gap be resolved? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Kalshi, 17 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Before 2027 için 0% fiyatlıyor.
- When will Yang–Mills and the Mass Gap be resolved? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- When will Yang–Mills and the Mass Gap be resolved? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 7 Ocak 2027.
- When will Yang–Mills and the Mass Gap be resolved? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Kalshi bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If Yang-Mills Existence and Mass Gap Problem in its official Clay Mathematics Institute formulation is resolved before Jan 1, 2027 under the Payout Criterion and that resolution has not been retracted, withdrawn, repudiated, or rescinded prior to the Expiration time, then the market resolves to Yes.