KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiKabaca kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılıkSan Diego, CA 89%10 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
54 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺47,5 B
Likidite
₺1,4 Mn
Yüksek likiditeAlis / Satis
38.0% / 44.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Geniş spreadPiyasa verileri
21 dakika önce guncellendi
13 May 26 23:0031 Ara 26 15:00
Trendler
Yalnızca sanal bakiye, gerçek para yokYatırım tavsiyesi değildir
Seçilen sonuç
Sacramento, CA44%
Platformları karşılaştır· San Diego, CA
Piyasa kalitesine, ardından likidite ve 24s hacme göre sıralanır| Platform | Kalite | Olasılık | referansa göre | 24s Hacim | Likidite | Güncellik | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiBu sayfaGenel en iyi | Orta | 89% | — | ₺47,5 B | ₺1,4 Mn | 21 dakika önce | |
 Manifold Markets%85 eşleşme · doğrulandı | — | 100% | — | — | — | 13 gün önce | Aç → |
Manifold Markets üzerinde de mevcut
Where will Waymo be available in 2026?
5ay
100%
100%
100%
+16 daha fazla sonuç
Topluluk tahmini33 tahminciTür: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSKurallar
If Waymo is operating commercial autonomous vehicle ride-hailing services available to the general public within Washington, DC before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- "Operating commercial services" means that members of the general public can download the Waymo app (or access Waymo through a partner app), request a ride with pickup and dropoff locations within Washington, DC, and receive autonomous vehicle service for a fee.
- The service must be available to the general public without requiring special invitation codes, waitlist approval, or participation in testing programs, though geographic coverage within Washington, DC may be limited to certain areas.
- Services operating exclusively with safety drivers present do not satisfy the Payout Criterion; the service must offer fully autonomous rides (without a human safety driver) at least some of the time.
- Examples that WOULD resolve to Yes:
- Waymo launches public commercial service in any part of Washington, DC Waymo expands from adjacent areas into Washington, DC limits Waymo operates 24/7 service or limited hours service within Washington, DC Waymo offers service through the Uber app to all users in Washington, DC Service is geofenced to only certain neighborhoods but is public
Olasılıklar farklı piyasa yapıları, ücretler ve katılımcı havuzları nedeniyle değişiklik gösterebilir.
Hacim trendi
$1.0k2 Tem27g veri28 Tem
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If Waymo is operating commercial autonomous vehicle ride-hailing services available to the general public within Washington, DC before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- "Operating commercial services" means that members of the general public can download the Waymo app (or access Waymo through a partner app), request a ride with pickup and dropoff locations within Washington, DC, and receive autonomous vehicle service for a fee.
- The service must be available to the general public without requiring special invitation codes, waitlist approval, or participation in testing programs, though geographic coverage within Washington, DC may be limited to certain areas.
- Services operating exclusively with safety drivers present do not satisfy the Payout Criterion; the service must offer fully autonomous rides (without a human safety driver) at least some of the time.
- Examples that WOULD resolve to Yes:
- Waymo launches public commercial service in any part of Washington, DC Waymo expands from adjacent areas into Washington, DC limits Waymo operates 24/7 service or limited hours service within Washington, DC Waymo offers service through the Uber app to all users in Washington, DC Service is geofenced to only certain neighborhoods but is public