Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiSan Diego 100%19 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
39
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
-3.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
5 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis1 Ara 25 22:25 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Waymo available in European Union before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhere will Waymo operate in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill it still be true in 2030 that "traffic deaths have not gone down in any city where Waymo is operating"?
Manifold Marketswill waymo be available in Portland before the bloodborne movie releases?
Manifold MarketsWhere will Waymo operate before 2028?
KalshiJensen Huang announced resignation or removal by which date?
PolymarketKurallar
If the Waymo service area overlaps with the city limits at all, that's good enough.
- If only a minority of people have access, it will resolved based on whether any of them got this access by luck or signing up early, rather than by being Waymo employees, journalists, or famous.
- If the cars arrive with Waymo employees in them, or even in the driver seats, the answer resolves Yes if i can find any credible evidence of 1 trip where it's plausible the car was doing more than half of the driving work.
- If it's hard to find evidence of any such trips, it'll resolve No. When Waymo launches somewhere, that answer will resolve Yes.
- If they suspend service etc, it will still stay a Yes.