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Guncelligini yitirmis8 May 26 20:02 UTC30 Haz 32 23:59 UTC
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Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Which will be the first year the USA has less than 15k traffic deaths? (42k in 2024)
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A recurring claim in the AV-skeptic debate is that traffic deaths have not declined in any city where Waymo operates (source).
- Resolves YES if, in calendar year 2030, traffic fatalities have NOT declined relative to each city's pre-commercial-launch baseline year in any of the 5 largest Waymo deployment cities.
- Resolves NO if at least one such city shows a decline relative to its pre-Waymo baseline.
- The 5 cities (locked in at market creation): Phoenix, San Francisco, Los Angeles, Austin, Atlanta.
- Pre-commercial-launch baseline year: the full calendar year before paid public Waymo service began in that city.
- Resolution source: NHTSA FARS data, CY2030 vs each city's baseline year.
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Sık sorulan sorular
- Will it still be true in 2030 that "traffic deaths have not gone down in any city where Waymo is operating"? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 74% fiyatlıyor.
- Will it still be true in 2030 that "traffic deaths have not gone down in any city where Waymo is operating"? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will it still be true in 2030 that "traffic deaths have not gone down in any city where Waymo is operating"? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 30 Haziran 2032.
- Will it still be true in 2030 that "traffic deaths have not gone down in any city where Waymo is operating"? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: A recurring claim in the AV-skeptic debate is that traffic deaths have not declined in any city where Waymo operates (source).