- Rob Sand, 4-6%
- If the margin of victory for Rob Sand in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Iowa is within 4% to 6%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Rob Sand minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Rob Sand if Rob Sand wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Rob Sand loses. If Rob Sand wins, the margin will be positive; if Rob Sand loses, the margin will be negative; if Rob Sand ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Rob Sand runs under multiple parti…
- Rob Sand, 2-4%
- If the margin of victory for Rob Sand in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Iowa is within 2% to 4%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Rob Sand minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Rob Sand if Rob Sand wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Rob Sand loses. If Rob Sand wins, the margin will be positive; if Rob Sand loses, the margin will be negative; if Rob Sand ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Rob Sand runs under multiple parti…
- Rob Sand, 6-8%
- If the margin of victory for Rob Sand in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Iowa is within 6% to 8%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Rob Sand minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Rob Sand if Rob Sand wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Rob Sand loses. If Rob Sand wins, the margin will be positive; if Rob Sand loses, the margin will be negative; if Rob Sand ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Rob Sand runs under multiple parti…
- Rob Sand, 8-10%
- If the margin of victory for Rob Sand in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Iowa is within 8% to 10%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Rob Sand minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Rob Sand if Rob Sand wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Rob Sand loses. If Rob Sand wins, the margin will be positive; if Rob Sand loses, the margin will be negative; if Rob Sand ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Rob Sand runs under multiple parti…
- Rob Sand, 0-2%
- If the margin of victory for Rob Sand in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Iowa is within 0% to 2%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Rob Sand minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Rob Sand if Rob Sand wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Rob Sand loses. If Rob Sand wins, the margin will be positive; if Rob Sand loses, the margin will be negative; if Rob Sand ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Rob Sand runs under multiple parti…
- Rob Sand, 10-12%
- If the margin of victory for Rob Sand in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Iowa is within 10% to 12%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Rob Sand minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Rob Sand if Rob Sand wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Rob Sand loses. If Rob Sand wins, the margin will be positive; if Rob Sand loses, the margin will be negative; if Rob Sand ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Rob Sand runs under multiple parti…
- Zach Lahn, 0-2%
- If the margin of victory for Zach Lahn in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Iowa is within 0% to 2%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Zach Lahn minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Zach Lahn if Zach Lahn wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Zach Lahn loses. If Zach Lahn wins, the margin will be positive; if Zach Lahn loses, the margin will be negative; if Zach Lahn ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Zach Lahn runs under multip…
- Rob Sand, ≥14%
- If the margin of victory for Rob Sand in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Iowa is at or above 14%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Rob Sand minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Rob Sand if Rob Sand wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Rob Sand loses. If Rob Sand wins, the margin will be positive; if Rob Sand loses, the margin will be negative; if Rob Sand ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Rob Sand runs under multiple parti…
- Rob Sand, 12-14%
- If the margin of victory for Rob Sand in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Iowa is within 12% to 14%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Rob Sand minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Rob Sand if Rob Sand wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Rob Sand loses. If Rob Sand wins, the margin will be positive; if Rob Sand loses, the margin will be negative; if Rob Sand ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Rob Sand runs under multiple parti…
- Zach Lahn, ≥2%
- If the margin of victory for Zach Lahn in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Iowa is at or above 2%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Zach Lahn minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Zach Lahn if Zach Lahn wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Zach Lahn loses. If Zach Lahn wins, the margin will be positive; if Zach Lahn loses, the margin will be negative; if Zach Lahn ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Zach Lahn runs under multip…