Texas Governor: margin of victory
8.0 puan (24s)PolitikaOne-OffABD SiyasetiSeçim2026 ABD Ara Seçimleri1y
KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekliDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreSeçili emir defteri orta fiyatı
Greg Abbott, 2-4% · —
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Kayıtlı fiyat
Greg Abbott, 2-4% 17.5%11 seçenek arasında lider
Greg Abbott, 2-4% 17.5%Piyasa kalitesi
73 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺1,2 Mn
Açık pozisyon
$27,8 B
Yüksek açık pozisyonAlış / Satış
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Greg Abbott, 2-4%Spread
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Piyasa verileri
7 dakika önce güncellendi
23 Eki 26 23:00 UTC3 Kas 27 14:00 UTC
Grafik ve değişimler, seçili canlı emir defterini değil kayıtlı geçmiş olasılıkları gösterir.
Trendler
Seçili satır: emir defteri orta fiyatı. Diğer satırlar: normalleştirilmiş olabilen kayıtlı referanslar; 24 saatlik değişimler kayıtlı geçmişi kullanır.
İşlem platformu koşulları
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- 30m (bilgi amaçlı)
Piyasa derinliği · Greg Abbott, 2-4%
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Kurallar
If the margin of victory for Greg Abbott in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Texas is within 2% to 4%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Greg Abbott minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Greg Abbott if Greg Abbott wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Greg Abbott loses. If Greg Abbott wins, the margin will be positive; if Greg Abbott loses, the margin will be negative; if Greg Abbott ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Greg Abbott r…
Uzlaşma kaynağı:Texas Secretary of State
Her sonucun kuralı
- Greg Abbott, 2-4%
- If the margin of victory for Greg Abbott in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Texas is within 2% to 4%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Greg Abbott minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Greg Abbott if Greg Abbott wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Greg Abbott loses. If Greg Abbott wins, the margin will be positive; if Greg Abbott loses, the margin will be negative; if Greg Abbott ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Greg Abbott r…
- Gina Hinojosa, 2-4%
- If the margin of victory for Gina Hinojosa in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Texas is within 2% to 4%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Gina Hinojosa minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Gina Hinojosa if Gina Hinojosa wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Gina Hinojosa loses. If Gina Hinojosa wins, the margin will be positive; if Gina Hinojosa loses, the margin will be negative; if Gina Hinojosa ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If…
- Greg Abbott, 4-6%
- If the margin of victory for Greg Abbott in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Texas is within 4% to 6%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Greg Abbott minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Greg Abbott if Greg Abbott wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Greg Abbott loses. If Greg Abbott wins, the margin will be positive; if Greg Abbott loses, the margin will be negative; if Greg Abbott ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Greg Abbott r…
- Greg Abbott, 6-8%
- If the margin of victory for Greg Abbott in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Texas is within 6% to 8%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Greg Abbott minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Greg Abbott if Greg Abbott wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Greg Abbott loses. If Greg Abbott wins, the margin will be positive; if Greg Abbott loses, the margin will be negative; if Greg Abbott ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Greg Abbott r…
- Gina Hinojosa, 0-2%
- If the margin of victory for Gina Hinojosa in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Texas is within 0% to 2%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Gina Hinojosa minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Gina Hinojosa if Gina Hinojosa wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Gina Hinojosa loses. If Gina Hinojosa wins, the margin will be positive; if Gina Hinojosa loses, the margin will be negative; if Gina Hinojosa ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If…
- Greg Abbott, 0-2%
- If the margin of victory for Greg Abbott in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Texas is within 0% to 2%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Greg Abbott minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Greg Abbott if Greg Abbott wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Greg Abbott loses. If Greg Abbott wins, the margin will be positive; if Greg Abbott loses, the margin will be negative; if Greg Abbott ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Greg Abbott r…
- Gina Hinojosa, ≥6%
- If the margin of victory for Gina Hinojosa in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Texas is at or above 6%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Gina Hinojosa minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Gina Hinojosa if Gina Hinojosa wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Gina Hinojosa loses. If Gina Hinojosa wins, the margin will be positive; if Gina Hinojosa loses, the margin will be negative; if Gina Hinojosa ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If…
- Gina Hinojosa, 4-6%
- If the margin of victory for Gina Hinojosa in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Texas is within 4% to 6%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Gina Hinojosa minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Gina Hinojosa if Gina Hinojosa wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Gina Hinojosa loses. If Gina Hinojosa wins, the margin will be positive; if Gina Hinojosa loses, the margin will be negative; if Gina Hinojosa ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If…
- Greg Abbott, ≥12%
- If the margin of victory for Greg Abbott in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Texas is at or above 12%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Greg Abbott minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Greg Abbott if Greg Abbott wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Greg Abbott loses. If Greg Abbott wins, the margin will be positive; if Greg Abbott loses, the margin will be negative; if Greg Abbott ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Greg Abbott r…
- Greg Abbott, 8-10%
- If the margin of victory for Greg Abbott in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Texas is within 8% to 10%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Greg Abbott minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Greg Abbott if Greg Abbott wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Greg Abbott loses. If Greg Abbott wins, the margin will be positive; if Greg Abbott loses, the margin will be negative; if Greg Abbott ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Greg Abbott r…
- Greg Abbott, 10-12%
- If the margin of victory for Greg Abbott in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Texas is within 10% to 12%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Greg Abbott minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Greg Abbott if Greg Abbott wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Greg Abbott loses. If Greg Abbott wins, the margin will be positive; if Greg Abbott loses, the margin will be negative; if Greg Abbott ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Greg Abbott r…
