- Roger Marshall, 0-2%
- If the margin of victory for Roger Marshall in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kansas is within 0% to 2%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Roger Marshall minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Roger Marshall if Roger Marshall wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Roger Marshall loses. If Roger Marshall wins, the margin will be positive; if Roger Marshall loses, the margin will be negative; if Roger Marshall ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% ra…
- Adam Hamilton, 0-2%
- If the margin of victory for Adam Hamilton in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kansas is within 0% to 2%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Adam Hamilton minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Adam Hamilton if Adam Hamilton wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Adam Hamilton loses. If Adam Hamilton wins, the margin will be positive; if Adam Hamilton loses, the margin will be negative; if Adam Hamilton ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If…
- Roger Marshall, 2-4%
- If the margin of victory for Roger Marshall in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kansas is within 2% to 4%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Roger Marshall minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Roger Marshall if Roger Marshall wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Roger Marshall loses. If Roger Marshall wins, the margin will be positive; if Roger Marshall loses, the margin will be negative; if Roger Marshall ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% ra…
- Roger Marshall, 4-6%
- If the margin of victory for Roger Marshall in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kansas is within 4% to 6%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Roger Marshall minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Roger Marshall if Roger Marshall wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Roger Marshall loses. If Roger Marshall wins, the margin will be positive; if Roger Marshall loses, the margin will be negative; if Roger Marshall ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% ra…
- Adam Hamilton, 2-4%
- If the margin of victory for Adam Hamilton in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kansas is within 2% to 4%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Adam Hamilton minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Adam Hamilton if Adam Hamilton wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Adam Hamilton loses. If Adam Hamilton wins, the margin will be positive; if Adam Hamilton loses, the margin will be negative; if Adam Hamilton ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If…
- Roger Marshall, ≥10%
- If the margin of victory for Roger Marshall in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kansas is at or above 10%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Roger Marshall minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Roger Marshall if Roger Marshall wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Roger Marshall loses. If Roger Marshall wins, the margin will be positive; if Roger Marshall loses, the margin will be negative; if Roger Marshall ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% ra…
- Roger Marshall, 6-8%
- If the margin of victory for Roger Marshall in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kansas is within 6% to 8%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Roger Marshall minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Roger Marshall if Roger Marshall wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Roger Marshall loses. If Roger Marshall wins, the margin will be positive; if Roger Marshall loses, the margin will be negative; if Roger Marshall ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% ra…
- Adam Hamilton, 4-6%
- If the margin of victory for Adam Hamilton in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kansas is within 4% to 6%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Adam Hamilton minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Adam Hamilton if Adam Hamilton wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Adam Hamilton loses. If Adam Hamilton wins, the margin will be positive; if Adam Hamilton loses, the margin will be negative; if Adam Hamilton ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If…
- Roger Marshall, 8-10%
- If the margin of victory for Roger Marshall in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kansas is within 8% to 10%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Roger Marshall minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Roger Marshall if Roger Marshall wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Roger Marshall loses. If Roger Marshall wins, the margin will be positive; if Roger Marshall loses, the margin will be negative; if Roger Marshall ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% ra…
- Adam Hamilton, 6-8%
- If the margin of victory for Adam Hamilton in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kansas is within 6% to 8%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Adam Hamilton minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Adam Hamilton if Adam Hamilton wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Adam Hamilton loses. If Adam Hamilton wins, the margin will be positive; if Adam Hamilton loses, the margin will be negative; if Adam Hamilton ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If…
- Adam Hamilton, ≥8%
- If the margin of victory for Adam Hamilton in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kansas is at or above 8%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Adam Hamilton minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Adam Hamilton if Adam Hamilton wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Adam Hamilton loses. If Adam Hamilton wins, the margin will be positive; if Adam Hamilton loses, the margin will be negative; if Adam Hamilton ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If…