KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekliDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreSeçili emir defteri orta fiyatı
Jean-Luc Mélenchon · —
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
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Kayıtlı fiyat
Jean-Luc Mélenchon 36.5%14 seçenek arasında lider
Jean-Luc Mélenchon 36.5%Piyasa kalitesi
61 / 100
Orta kalite24s Hacim
₺56 B
Açık pozisyon
₺37,3 B
Düşük açık pozisyonAlış / Satış
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Jean-Luc MélenchonSpread
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Piyasa verileri
20 dakika önce güncellendi
12 Eki 26 20:00 UTC18 Nis 28 14:00 UTC
Grafik ve değişimler, seçili canlı emir defterini değil kayıtlı geçmiş olasılıkları gösterir.
Trendler
Seçili satır: emir defteri orta fiyatı. Diğer satırlar: normalleştirilmiş olabilen kayıtlı referanslar; 24 saatlik değişimler kayıtlı geçmişi kullanır.
İşlem platformu koşulları
Kaynak: Kalshi
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- Evet
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- 30m (bilgi amaçlı)
Piyasa derinliği · Jean-Luc Mélenchon
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
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Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
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PolymarketKurallar
If Jean-Luc Mélenchon finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:Conseil constitutionnel
- Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on the number of votes each candidate receives in the first round, as proclaimed by the Constitutional Council, whether or not a second round is held and regardless of who advances to or wins it. In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). If a candidate not listed on this event finishes 2nd, every market on this event resolves NO. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the ballot list is published but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.
Her sonucun kuralı
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon
- If Jean-Luc Mélenchon finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Édouard Philippe
- If Édouard Philippe finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Raphaël Glucksmann
- If Raphaël Glucksmann finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Gabriel Attal
- If Gabriel Attal finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Marine Le Pen
- If Marine Le Pen finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- François Hollande
- If François Hollande finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Jordan Bardella
- If Jordan Bardella finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Bruno Retailleau
- If Bruno Retailleau finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- David Lisnard
- If David Lisnard finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dominique de Villepin
- If Dominique de Villepin finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Éric Zemmour
- If Éric Zemmour finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- François Ruffin
- If François Ruffin finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Marine Tondelier
- If Marine Tondelier finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Xavier Bertrand
- If Xavier Bertrand finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the next French presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.