KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekliDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreVeri kalitesi uyarısıAnlamlı fiyatlandırma yok
13 Eki 2026 10:00 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
Seçili emir defteri orta fiyatı
DUP · —
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
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Kayıtlı fiyat
DUP 47%6 seçenek arasında lider
DUP 47%Piyasa kalitesi
34 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
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Açık pozisyon
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Açık pozisyon bilinmiyorAlış / Satış
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DUPSpread
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Piyasa verileri
24 dakika önce güncellendi
12 Eki 26 14:00 UTC5 May 28 14:00 UTC
Grafik ve değişimler, seçili canlı emir defterini değil kayıtlı geçmiş olasılıkları gösterir.
Trendler
Seçili satır: emir defteri orta fiyatı. Diğer satırlar: normalleştirilmiş olabilen kayıtlı referanslar; 24 saatlik değişimler kayıtlı geçmişi kullanır.
İşlem platformu koşulları
Kaynak: Kalshi
Bu koşullar yalnızca bilgi amaçlıdır; CoinRithm deneme işlemlerinde kendi kurallarını uygular.
- Erken kapanış:
- Evet
- Sonuçlandırma süresi:
- 30m (bilgi amaçlı)
Piyasa derinliği · DUP
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
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KalshiKurallar
If the Democratic Unionist Party finishes in 2nd place in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:Electoral Office for Northern Ireland
- Ranking is determined by the specified counting method. For proportional representation, rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order. The party awarded the 2nd-highest number of seats in the Northern Ireland Assembly, counting the members declared elected across the 18 constituencies in the Electoral Office for Northern Ireland's final certified results, resolves YES; every other listed party resolves NO Rank is NOT determined by first-preference votes or vote share. Where seat rank and vote-share rank differ, the certified seat allocation governs Resolution follows the final certified result, not the provisional count published during the count Only the next general election to the Assembly counts. Seats in the local council elections held the same day, and any by-election or later co-option, do NOT count Seats count for the party under whose name the member was elected. Later defections do not change the allocation If a party not listed on this event is awarded the 2nd-highest number of seats, every market on this event resolves NO In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" option exists. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on seats awarded.
Her sonucun kuralı
- DUP
- If the Democratic Unionist Party finishes in 2nd place in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- UUP
- If the Ulster Unionist Party finishes in 2nd place in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Sinn Féin
- If Sinn Féin finishes in 2nd place in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Alliance
- If the Alliance Party of Northern Ireland finishes in 2nd place in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- SDLP
- If the Social Democratic and Labour Party finishes in 2nd place in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- TUV
- If Traditional Unionist Voice finishes in 2nd place in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
