KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Hayır 79%
Piyasa kalitesi
47 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
—
Likidite
₺209,1 B
Orta likiditeAlış / Satış
21.0% / 28.0%
Spread
7.0 pt
Geniş spreadPiyasa verileri
4 dakika önce güncellendi
27 Şub 26 20:00 UTC1 Oca 27 04:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will a federal court block a major state AI law before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill a court block the FCC's ABC license review in 2026?
KalshiWill any major U.S. city mandate remote work options for city employees by 2026?
Manifold MarketsClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
PolymarketWill the Clarity Act become law?
KalshiWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
KalshiKurallar
If any tech company officially announces One-time layoff greater than 40% of employees before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:The Washington PostABCCBSCNNMSNBCNBCthe Securities and Exchange Commission EDGAR databaseThe New York TimesThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsReutersthe Associated PressCNBCAxiosPoliticoThe Information
- The announcement must be made through official company channels including press releases, SEC filings (8-K, 10-K, 10-Q), earnings calls, investor presentations, verified social media accounts, or official statements to media subsequently confirmed by the company.
- CEO statements through official channels qualify.
- Rumors, speculation, unconfirmed reports, leaked information, third-party announcements without company confirmation, and preliminary discussions do not qualify.
- The announcement must occur after market issuance.
- Companies are tracked through rebranding and name changes representing the same business entity.
Açık piyasalar
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+12.5pt81.2%
- Yes-12.5pt18.8%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺847,2 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺57,5 Mn
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Oct 1, 2027-18.0pt52%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-22.0pt48%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-28.0pt47%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027-3.0pt89%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-5.0pt86%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-8.0pt79%
+9 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 15,-0.5pt85%
- December 31,-2.5pt84%
- November 30,+2.5pt79%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIHow many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Above 50-3.0pt50%
- Above 55-21.0pt43%
- Above 58-10.0pt36%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
POLYMARKETWhich Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Thom Tillis-0.5pt41%
- Kirsten Gillibrand+8.0pt36%
- Mike Lee-4.0pt34%
+12 daha fazla sonuç
- Will the cap on gambling loss reduction be repealed?
- How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
- Which Senators will vote for Clarity Act cloture?
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by which date?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- SB Energy IPO Closing Market Cap
- Conference to Win the National Championship
Sık sorulan sorular
- One-time layoff greater than Block (40% of employees) in tech? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Kalshi, 15 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 79% fiyatlıyor.
- One-time layoff greater than Block (40% of employees) in tech? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- One-time layoff greater than Block (40% of employees) in tech? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2027.
- One-time layoff greater than Block (40% of employees) in tech? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Kalshi bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If any tech company officially announces One-time layoff greater than 40% of employees before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.