KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Hayır 58%
Piyasa kalitesi
39 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
—
Likidite
₺133,6 B
Orta likiditeAlış / Satış
41.0% / 80.0%
Spread
39.0 pt
Geniş spreadPiyasa verileri
12 dakika önce güncellendi
20 Ağu 26 14:00 UTC1 Oca 27 04:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will a federal court block a major state AI law before 2027?
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KalshiOne-time layoff greater than Block (40% of employees) in tech?
KalshiFCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?
PolymarketUS grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?
PolymarketNew cars must have digital license plates in CA before EOY 2027
Manifold MarketsKurallar
If any federal court issues a preliminary or permanent injunction, vacatur, or stay halting all or part of the FCC's early ABC license renewal proceedings in ABC v.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:U.S. District Court for the District of ColumbiaPACER (Public Access to Court Electronic Records)
- FCC, No. 1:26-cv-02902 (D.D.C.), any appeal, or any federal challenge to the April 2026 early renewal order before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The ruling must: Be issued by any federal court in ABC v.
- FCC, No. 1:26-cv-02902 (D.D.C.), an appeal of it, or a federal challenge to the April 2026 early renewal order Address the matter described by the specified judgment Be issued through a written order, opinion, judgment, or decision
- Partial relief counts.
- An order barring the Commission only from designating the ABC renewal applications for hearing resolves the market to YES.
Açık piyasalar
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+1.0pt84.2%
- Yes-1.0pt15.8%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺697,3 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺9,6 Mn
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,-0.5pt86%
- November 30,-0.5pt85%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028+11.0pt64%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-4.0pt45%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-10.0pt37%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+2.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+6.0pt98%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+3.0pt98%
- Before Jan 1, 202795%
+9 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺79,6 Mn
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T-0.1pt20.2%
- $1.75T–$2.0T19.2%
- $1.5T–$1.75T+0.1pt18.3%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Conference to Win the National Championship
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
- Will Alabama cut its state grocery tax again?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
- Will Delaware raise its corporate franchise tax?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by September 30?
- Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by which date?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will a court block the FCC's ABC license review in 2026? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Kalshi, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 58% fiyatlıyor.
- Will a court block the FCC's ABC license review in 2026? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will a court block the FCC's ABC license review in 2026? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2027.
- Will a court block the FCC's ABC license review in 2026? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Kalshi bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If any federal court issues a preliminary or permanent injunction, vacatur, or stay halting all or part of the FCC's early ABC license renewal proceedings in ABC v.