KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Evet 92%
Piyasa kalitesi
≤49 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
—
Likidite
₺240,3 B
Orta likiditeAlış / Satış
88.0% / 92.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Orta spreadPiyasa verileri
13 dakika önce güncellendi
5 May 26 14:00 UTC1 Oca 27 15:00 UTC
Trendler
Makroya Duyarlı Varlıklar
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will the US ban mail-in ballots for the 2026 midterm elections?
FutuurWill the European Union introduce a digital euro as a central bank digital currency (CBDC) before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Anti-CBDC Act be signed into law in 2026?
FutuurWill the US ban software patents before 2033 ?
Manifold MarketsWill the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?
Manifold MarketsClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
PolymarketKurallar
If legislation prohibiting the Federal Reserve from studying, developing, or issuing a central bank digital currency has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage.
- For "become law" markets, the bill must be signed by the President or become law through veto override.
- Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to No. Joint resolutions are treated as bills.
- Treaties require two-thirds Senate approval for passage.
- The market resolves based on the first occurrence of the specified milestone.
Açık piyasalar
FedKALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+3.0pt53.9%
- Fed maintains rate-2.0pt42.3%
- Hike >25bps+1.0pt1.9%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺2 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺95,1 Mn
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt53.5%
- No change-2.0pt45.5%
- 50+ bps increase+0.2pt1%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt50.9%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt42.6%
- Cut 25bps2.8%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺30,7 Mn
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.1pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.4pt5%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.5pt2%
+10 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts-0.2pt91%
- Exactly 1 cut+0.5pt8%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.1pt1%
+18 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66%
- 25 bps increase30.1%
- 25 bps decrease-0.8pt2.9%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Fed Decision in December?
İlgili Kriptolar
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will the US ban CBDC in 2026? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Kalshi, 9 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 92% fiyatlıyor.
- Will the US ban CBDC in 2026? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will the US ban CBDC in 2026? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2027.
- Will the US ban CBDC in 2026? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Kalshi bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If legislation prohibiting the Federal Reserve from studying, developing, or issuing a central bank digital currency has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.