Will the US ban mail-in ballots for the 2026 midterm elections?
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Market period: From market open through 2026-11-05 23:59:59 UTC (inclusive).
- This market resolves to "Yes" if, before or on that date, a nationwide legal prohibition on mail-in ballot issuance or counting for federal races is enacted and in effect for the US 2026 midterm elections.
- A qualifying ban could arise through one of the following routes:
- Congress passes federal legislation or ratifies a constitutional amendment that explicitly prohibits mail-in ballot issuance or counting in federal elections.
- The U.S. Supreme Court issues a ruling with binding nationwide effect that invalidates the use of mail-in ballot issuance or counting in the 2026 midterms.
- Federal executive authority (e.g., Department of Justice, Election Assistance Commission) issues and successfully enforces regulations prohibiting mail-in ballot issuance or counting in the 2026 midterms, without being overturned by higher courts before election day.
