KalshiKapalıKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekliDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreSağlayıcı tarafından piyasa piyasa sonuçlandırıldı
Sonuçlandı: 31 Eki 2026 17:51
Bu etkinliğin tek bir kazananı yok. Sağlayıcı her piyasayı ayrı ayrı sonuçlandırdı; her piyasa kendi sonucunu gösteriyor.
Veri kalitesi uyarısıEski veriler
31 Eki 2026 13:47 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
Olasılık Zaman Çizelgesi
Magnitude of at least 5.21%
Magnitude of at least 5.41%
Magnitude of at least 5.816%
Magnitude of at least 6.012%
Magnitude of at least 6.212%
Magnitude of at least 5.61%
Magnitude of at least 6.47%
Magnitude of at least 7.012%
Magnitude of at least 6.63%
Magnitude of at least 6.83%
Magnitude of at least 7.0Kaybetti
Magnitude of at least 6.4Kaybetti
Magnitude of at least 5.2Kaybetti
Magnitude of at least 5.4Kaybetti
Magnitude of at least 5.8Kaybetti
Magnitude of at least 6.0Kaybetti
Magnitude of at least 6.2Kaybetti
Magnitude of at least 5.6Kaybetti
Magnitude of at least 6.6Kaybetti
Magnitude of at least 6.8Kaybetti
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Manifold MarketsKurallar
Bu sonucun kesin kuralı mevcut değil.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:the United States Geological Survey
- The determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed at Expiration, preferentially moment magnitude (Mw) and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If multiple earthquakes tie for the highest magnitude, all tied earthquakes count. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at Expiration, settlement may be delayed under the Contract contingencies.
Her sonucun kuralı
- Magnitude of at least 7.0
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 30, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 7.0 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.4
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 30, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.4 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 5.2
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 30, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.2 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 5.4
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 30, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.4 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 5.8
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 30, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.8 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.0
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 30, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.0 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.2
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 30, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.2 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 5.6
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 30, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.6 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.6
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 30, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.6 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.8
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 30, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.8 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.