KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiKabaca kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılıkXavier Becerra 95%+0.3pt
Piyasa kalitesi
86 / 100
Yüksek kalite24s Hacim
₺158,2 B
Likidite
₺28,8 Mn
Yüksek likiditeAlis / Satis
5.2% / 5.3%
Spread
0.1 pt
Dar spreadPiyasa verileri
19 dakika önce guncellendi
10 Oca 25 15:003 Kas 27 15:00
Trendler
Yalnızca sanal bakiye, gerçek para yokYatırım tavsiyesi değildir
Seçilen sonuç
Steve Hilton5%
Platformları karşılaştır· Xavier Becerra
Piyasa kalitesine, ardından likidite ve 24s hacme göre sıralanır| Platform | Kalite | Olasılık | referansa göre | 24s Hacim | Likidite | Güncellik | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiBu sayfaGenel en iyi | Yüksek | 95% | — | ₺158,2 B | ₺28,8 Mn | 19 dakika önce | |
 Manifold Markets%80 eşleşme · doğrulandı | — | 95% | — | — | — | 19 dakika önce | Aç → |
Manifold Markets üzerinde de mevcut
California Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026?
3ay
+1.1pt95%
-1.1pt4.9%
0.1%
Topluluk tahmini29 tahminciTür: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSKurallar
If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of California pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of California pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Olasılıklar farklı piyasa yapıları, ücretler ve katılımcı havuzları nedeniyle değişiklik gösterebilir.
Büyük işlemler
$2.2k93.7%KALSHIRepublican party — No9 gün önce
KALSHIRepublican party — No9 gün önce$1.3k93.7%KALSHIDemocratic party — Yes10 gün önce
KALSHIDemocratic party — Yes10 gün önce$1.5k95.0%KALSHIDemocratic party — Yes10 gün önce
KALSHIDemocratic party — Yes10 gün önce$2.4k94.4%KALSHIDemocratic party — Yes11 gün önce
KALSHIDemocratic party — Yes11 gün önce$1.4k94.8%KALSHIDemocratic party — Yes11 gün önce
KALSHIDemocratic party — Yes11 gün önceHacim trendi
$3.3k2 Tem27g veri28 Tem
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If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of California pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of California pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.