Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreVeri kalitesi uyarısıEski veriler
11 Haz 2026 17:45 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-3
Güncel topluluk tahminiDemocratic Party 97.8%3 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
27
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
46 gün önce guncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis10 Nis 24 17:564 Kas 26 7:59
Trendler
0.2%
Yalnızca sanal bakiye, gerçek para yokYatırım tavsiyesi değildir
Seçilen sonuç
Democratic Party98%
Platformları karşılaştır· Democratic Party
Piyasa kalitesine, ardından likidite ve 24s hacme göre sıralanır| Platform | Kalite | Olasılık | referansa göre | 24s Hacim | Likidite | Güncellik | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiGenel en iyi%80 eşleşme · doğrulandı | Yüksek | 95% | — | ₺6,5 B | ₺28,6 Mn | 20 dakika önce | Aç → |
| Manifold MarketsBu sayfa | — | 98% | — | — | — | 46 gün önce |
Kalshi üzerinde de mevcut
California Governor winner?
0.3 pts1y
-0.3pt94.1%
5.9%
78 • Yüksek kaliteDar spreadYüksek likiditeSonuca yakın
Toplam Hacim₺55,6 Mn
24s Hacim₺6,5 B
KALSHIKurallar
This market will resolve to the party which won the state's gubernatorial election, as determined by the local, state, and ultimately federal governments.
- In the case the race is called by the major news organizations, the market may resolve early.
- If a candidate switches party affiliations, the switch will not affect the outcome if it is after the beginning of Election Day, local time.
Olasılıklar farklı piyasa yapıları, ücretler ve katılımcı havuzları nedeniyle değişiklik gösterebilir.
Büyük işlemler
$2.2k93.7%KALSHIRepublican party — No9 gün önce
KALSHIRepublican party — No9 gün önce$1.3k93.7%KALSHIDemocratic party — Yes10 gün önce
KALSHIDemocratic party — Yes10 gün önce$1.5k95.0%KALSHIDemocratic party — Yes10 gün önce
KALSHIDemocratic party — Yes10 gün önce$2.4k94.4%KALSHIDemocratic party — Yes11 gün önce
KALSHIDemocratic party — Yes11 gün önce$1.4k94.8%KALSHIDemocratic party — Yes11 gün önce
KALSHIDemocratic party — Yes11 gün önceİlgili Piyasalar
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
₺50,9 MnRobert F. Kennedy Jr.: 49%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Florida Republican Governor nominee?
₺28,1 MnJames Fishback: 3%KALSHI
KALSHI
Presidential Election Winner 2028
₺25,7 MnJD Vance: 20%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
₺22,8 MnGavin Newsom: 19%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Ohio Governor winner?
₺18,7 MnVivek Ramaswamy: 51%KALSHI
KALSHI
2028 Republican presidential nominee
₺9,8 MnDonald J. Trump: 3%KALSHI
KALSHIBu konularda aktif
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This market will resolve to the party which won the state's gubernatorial election, as determined by the local, state, and ultimately federal governments.
- In the case the race is called by the major news organizations, the market may resolve early.
- If a candidate switches party affiliations, the switch will not affect the outcome if it is after the beginning of Election Day, local time.