Güncel ima edilen olasılık
Above 4.6% 99%10 seçenek arasında lider
Piyasa kalitesi
25 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
₺227,3 B
Likidite
₺196,1 B
Orta likiditeİşlemciler
29
Piyasa verileri
22 gün önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmisTrendler
99%
97%
97%
94%
93%
82%
56%
51%
3%
1%
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will the US enter a recession in 2026?
Manifold MarketsChina overtakes USA’s economy by 2030?
KalshiChina Nominal GDP in 2026
KalshiWill China surpass the United States economically, militarily, and scientifically before 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill China ever surpass US gdp?
Manifold MarketsChina GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?
PolymarketKurallar
Each market in this event resolves "Yes" if China’s surveyed urban unemployment rate for July 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics of China and displayed by Trading Economics, is above the listed threshold.
- Markets resolve independently — every threshold below the reported figure resolves "Yes".
Açık piyasalar
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt51%
- No change-4.0pt47.1%
- 25 bps decrease+0.2pt1%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺5 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺141,1 Mn
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above 0.0%99%
+12 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺18,2 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1,4 Mn
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺29,3 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1,2 Mn
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes+1.0pt2%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34,4 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺720,4 B
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP86%
- Above -7.5% of GDP58%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺591,8 B
- 24s Hacim
- ₺591,8 B
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No95%
- Yes-1.0pt5%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺165 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺434,4 B
- Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
- Recession in 2027?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Core inflation in August 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Mexico unemployment rate in August
- 2026: Trump's dream year?
Sık sorulan sorular
- China unemployment rate — July 2026 için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Futuur, 17 Ağustos 2026 itibarıyla Above 4.6% için 99% fiyatlıyor.
- China unemployment rate — July 2026 ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- China unemployment rate — July 2026 için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 17 Ağustos 2026.
- China unemployment rate — July 2026 nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Futuur bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Each market in this event resolves "Yes" if China’s surveyed urban unemployment rate for July 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics of China and displayed by Trading Economics, is above the listed threshold.