Which party will lead in RCP Congressional generic ballot polling for Nov. 3?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUAEleiçãoEleições de meio de mandato dos EUA 20261d
PredictItVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução não verificadosRetail prediction exchange
Aviso de qualidade dos dadosSem preço significativo
Dados de 2 de nov. de 2026, 02:04 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Probabilidade implícita atual
Dem<6.0%, Tie or GOP 0%Líder entre 9 opções
Dem<6.0%, Tie or GOP 0%Metodologia
Retail prediction exchange
Tipo de pergunta
-
Volume 24h
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 minutos
27/10/26, 15:54 UTC3/11/26, 16:00 UTC
Tendências
Regras
The contract that resolves to Yes shall identify the RealClearPolling average "2026 Generic Congressional Vote" leader and spread at the End Date listed below.
- The approval rating shall be drawn from the table of individual polls, available upon launch of this market at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/state-of-the-union/generic-congressional-vote ("the Settlement Source"), as shown on devices set to Eastern Time.
Any number displayed at the Settlement Source at the End Date other than the difference between the two parties' support (currently labelled "Spread") will be irrelevant for purposes of this market.
Should the Settlement Source be unavailable at the End Date, PredictIt will, at its sole discretion, await an update, select the most recent data point in the identified series or an alternate source, or construct its own polling average.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
End Date: 11/03/2026 11:00 AM (ET)
