How many "truths" will Trump post from July 30 through August 5?
9.0 pts (24h)PolíticaOne-OffUS Politics
PredictItFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução não verificadosRetail prediction exchange
Este mercado foi resolvido: 181 to 200 (90%)
Dados de resolução não verificados
Este resultado é inferido ou não é apoiado por evidência de liquidação de nível provedor.
Aviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 6 de ago. de 2026, 12:00 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidade implícita atual
181 to 200 90%-9.0ptLíder entre 9 opções
Metodologia
Retail prediction exchange
Tipo de pergunta
-
Volume 24h
—
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 15 dias
Desatualizado30/07/26, 15:236/08/26, 11:00
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
120 or fewer1%
121 to 1401%
141 to 16010%
161 to 1801%
181 to 20090%
201 to 2202%
221 to 2401%
241 to 2601%
261 or more2%
90%
10%
2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Regras
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the total number of posts made by President Trump on the Truth Social social media website between the beginning of July 30, 2026, and the end of August 5, 2026, as categorized by the Settlement Source and as displayed at the End Date listed below.
The Settlement Source shall be the counter on the "Trump Truth's" database for the relevant dates (located upon launch of this market at https://trumpstruth.org/search?query=&start_date=2026-07-30&end_date=2026-08-05&sort=date_desc&removed=current&per_page=50).
The Settlement Source shall be the counter on the "Trump Truth's" database for the relevant dates (located upon launch of this market at https://trumpstruth.org/search?query=&start_date=2026-07-30&end_date=2026-08-05&sort=date_desc&removed=current&per_page=50).
- Should that source be unavailable or deemed by PredictIt to be out of date upon the End Date listed below, PredictIt may at its sole discretion either await its restoration and/or update, select the most appropriate alternate source, or manually count Truth posts (not including deleted posts or posts that are only "re-truths") that are publicly available.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
End Date: 08/06/2026 11:00 AM (ET)
