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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. US Politics
  3. Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?

Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?

One-OffUS PoliticsGeopolíticaLatin America6m
PolymarketPolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Sim
Sim 4%
Qualidade do mercado

49 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidez

32,3 mil €

Alta liquidez
Compra / Venda

4.0% / 4.1%

Spread

2.5%

Spread apertado
Variação 7d

-1.1%

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 2 minutos

5/01/26, 22:2531/12/26, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Yes4%

Regras

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Mexican land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Mexico or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
  • The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Regras

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Mexican land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Mexico or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
  • The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.