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  • Início
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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Middle East
  3. Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?

5.0% (24h)One-OffMiddle East19d
PolymarketPolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
20+
20+ 22%-5.0%
Líder entre 4 opções
Qualidade do mercado

73 / 100

Qualidade média
Volume 24h

18,1 mil €

Liquidez

89,1 mil €

Alta liquidez
Compra / Venda

20.0% / 23.0%

Spread

15.0%

Spread amplo
Variação 7d

-24.5%

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 9 minutos

1/06/26, 18:1530/06/26, 16:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

20+22%

Regras

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any finalized daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz reported by IMF Portwatch is equal to or above the listed value for any date between market creation and June 30, 2026.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
  • Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
  • Data for a specific date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next date's data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
  • This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying figure has been finalized or once all relevant data has been finalized.

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Ativos nestes tópicos

BitcoinBTC$62,662.07+2.07%EthereumETH$1,650.21+1.32%SolanaSOL$65.00+1.52%DogecoinDOGE$0.0847+1.36%XRPXRP$1.11+0.18%BNBBNB$595.12+1.57%

Notícias Relacionadas

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Regras

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any finalized daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz reported by IMF Portwatch is equal to or above the listed value for any date between market creation and June 30, 2026.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
  • Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
  • Data for a specific date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next date's data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
  • This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying figure has been finalized or once all relevant data has been finalized.