Will SCOTUS let Trump build the White House ballroom by September 30?
42.8 pts (24h)US PoliticsOne-OffCrime & Justice
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Aviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 21 de ago. de 2026, 21:10 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidade implícita atual
Sim 94%+42.8pt
Qualidade do mercado
25 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
501,7 €
Liquidez
332,5 €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
87.6% / 100.0%
Spread
12.4 pt
Spread amploComments
0
Variação 7d
+33.3 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 horas
Desatualizado7/08/26, 21:0130/09/26, 23:59
Tendências
94%
6%
Regras
The Supreme Court of the United States is expected to be asked to review lower-court rulings blocking construction of a new White House ballroom on the former site of the East Wing offices.
- As of market creation, a preliminary injunction affirmed by the D.C. Circuit blocks above-ground construction while permitting below-ground work.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Supreme Court of the United States issues any ruling or order that has the effect of permitting construction to resume on any above-ground portion of the ballroom project.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- A qualifying ruling or order includes a merits decision, a stay of a lower-court injunction, or any other form of interim or permanent relief, so long as its effect is that above-ground construction is legally permitted to proceed.
- A ruling or order affecting only below-ground work will not qualify.
