Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 43.0% or higher on September 15?
Política
PolymarketFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoEste mercado foi resolvido: No
Evidência de resolução limitada
A CoinRithm pode mostrar o resultado registrado, mas nem todos os campos de liquidação são verificados pelo provedor.
Probabilidade implícita atual
Não 100%
Qualidade do mercado
15 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
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Liquidez
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Liquidez desconhecidaDados do mercado
Atualizado há 122 dias
Desatualizado8/09/22, 0:0015/09/22, 0:00
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Regras
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden's approval rating as reported by FiveThirtyEight will be greater than or equal to 43.0% for the day of September 15, 2022.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date.
- Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
- The resolution data for September 15 will be checked on September 16, 2022 (12 PM ET), and can only resolve after the check.
- If for any reason (e.g. error, no data taken, etc.) there is no data point for September 15 on the check time, the market will be checked 6 hours later, at 6 PM ET on September 16, 2022.
