Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 42.5% or higher on October 13?
Política
PolymarketFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoEste mercado foi resolvido: Yes
Evidência de resolução limitada
A CoinRithm pode mostrar o resultado registrado, mas nem todos os campos de liquidação são verificados pelo provedor.
Probabilidade implícita atual
Sim 100%
Qualidade do mercado
15 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
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Liquidez
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Liquidez desconhecidaDados do mercado
Atualizado há 122 dias
Desatualizado7/10/22, 0:0014/10/22, 0:00
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
Yes100%
No0%
100%
0%
Regras
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden's approval rating as reported by FiveThirtyEight will be greater than or equal to 42.5% for the day of October 13, 2022.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date.
- Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
- The resolution data for October 13 will be checked on October 14, 2022 (12 PM ET), and can only resolve after the check.
- If for any reason (e.g. error, no data taken, etc.) there is no data point for October 13 on the check time, the market will be checked 6 hours later, at 6 PM ET on October 14, 2022.
