Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by...?
55.5 pts (24h)BitcoinEl SalvadorOne-OffCriptoCorporate Treasury5m
PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atualDecember 31, 2026 25%-55.5ptLíder entre 3 opções
Qualidade do mercado
25 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
34,5 €
Liquidez
127,5 €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
12.0% / 38.0%
Spread
26.0 pt
Spread amploVariação 7d
+4.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 minutos
27/08/25, 23:551/01/27, 5:00
0%
0%
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
December 31, 202625%
Tendência de volume
$3910 de jul.14d de dados28 de jul.
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the bitcoin holding officially owned by the Republic of the El Salvador government reaches or surpasses a value of $1b at any point by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The primary resolutions source for this market will be the ARKHAM INTEL tracker (see: https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/el-salvador).
- Any temporary glitches or errors in the tracker will not be considered.
- If the tracker becomes permanently unavailable another credible source may be used.
- Official announcements form the government of El Salvador confirming their bitcoin holdings have reached or surpassed $1b in value will also qualify.