Probabilidade implícita atual
Republican Party 94.1%+1.0pt
Qualidade do mercado
68 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
251,4 €
Liquidez
17,1 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
94.0% / 96.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentários
0
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 minutos
10/09/26, 18:24 UTC4/11/26, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Who will win the November 2026 election for the Texas State Senate District 9 seat?
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Manifold MarketsWill the Democratic party win the Texas general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExWill the Republican party win the Texas general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExUTSA vs. Texas State
PolymarketRegras
This market will resolve according to the party that wins control of the Texas State Senate in the 2026 Texas midterm election.
- A party wins control of the Texas Senate if it wins a majority of the chamber’s voting seats.
- If no party wins a majority of voting seats, the party that wins control of the chamber is the party that wins half of the voting seats and holds the Lieutenant Governor's Office as a result of the specified election.
- If the outcome remains ambiguous after applying the above criteria, the chamber will be deemed controlled by the party with which the first majority leader of the State Senate that convenes after the specified election is affiliated.
- If no such majority leader is chosen by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
- The following rules govern the counting of seats for determining which party wins control of the chamber.
