Where will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur by end of November?
0.5 pts (24h)América LatinaOne-OffClima1m
PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 31 de out. de 2026, 16:51 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Ponto médio do livro selecionado
Japan · —
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Referência guardada
Japan 51%Líder entre 7 opções
Japan 51%Qualidade do mercado
25 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
2 mil €
Liquidez
859,6 €
Baixa liquidezContratos em aberto
867,5 US$
Compra / Venda
— / —
JapanSpread
—
Comentários
0
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 horas
Desatualizado30/10/26, 15:08 UTC4/12/26, 04:59 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Polymarket
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Ordem mínima (cotas):
- 5
- Incremento de preço:
- 1 pontos percentuais
- Taxas:
- Sim
Maiores detentores
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Profundidade de mercado · Japan
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Manifold MarketsRegras
This market resolves to "Yes" if the the named outcome Geological Survey (USGS) reports an earthquake with a preferred magnitude of 6.0+ attributed to the listed country, with an origin time between November 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, by December 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ET.
- Otherwise, that market resolves "No".
- A qualifying earthquake must be counted for a country's market only if USGS attributes its location to that country in the event's location description, lists the earthquake with a preferred magnitude of 6.0 or higher, and lists it as occurring within the specified timeframe.
- Earthquakes without a preferred magnitude classification will not qualify.
- Revisions to a reported earthquake's underlying data, such as preferred magnitude and country attribution, will be considered until the end of the third calendar day after that earthquake's origin time (ET); revisions made after that time will not be considered.
- If a reported earthquake still qualifies at the end of its revision period, this market will resolve to "Yes" at that time, without remaining open until December 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ET.