Probabilidade implícita atual
Labor 76.5%-11.5ptLíder entre 4 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
56 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
271,1 €
Liquidez
9 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
6.0 pt
Spread amploComentários
0
Variação 7d
-6.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 minutos
20/08/26, 09:36 UTC28/11/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Victoria Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
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KalshiMecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
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KalshiRegras
The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party or coalition wins the second-most seats in the Legislative Assembly (Victoria's lower house) as a result of the next Victorian state election.
- If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
- Liberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition.
- Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties.
- Parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election.
Mercados abertos
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- Stefany Shaheen+82.9pt100%
- Maura Sullivan-82.9pt0%
- Carleigh Beriont-2.1pt0%
- Volume total
- € 847,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 668,8 mil
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.1pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.4pt3%
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- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt52.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+3.5pt45.5%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-2.0pt15.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
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POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.9pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 mais resultados
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Victoria Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place?
- A Polymarket cota Labor em 77% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Victoria Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place é resolvido?
- Victoria Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place deverá ser resolvido em 28 de novembro de 2026.
- Como Victoria Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: The 2026 Victorian state election is currently scheduled to be held on 28 November 2026 to elect members of the 61st Parliament of Victoria.