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  • Início
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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Geopolítica
  3. US x Russia military clash by...?
US x Russia military clash by...?

US x Russia military clash by...?

0.8% (24h)One-OffGeopolíticaRussia / Ukraine6m
PolymarketPolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
December 31,
December 31, 5%-0.8%
Líder entre 4 opções
Qualidade do mercado

89 / 100

Alta qualidade
Volume 24h

48,8 mil €

Liquidez

50,6 mil €

Alta liquidez
Compra / Venda

5.0% / 5.2%

Spread

4.0%

Spread moderado
Variação 7d

-0.9%

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 7 minutos

28/05/25, 22:1631/12/26, 12:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade
December 31
December 31
0%
January 31
January 31
0%

Resultado escolhido

December 31,5%

Regras

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of the United States and Russia between May 28 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between U.S. and Russian military forces.
  • Non-violent actions, such as airspace violations, firing of warning shots (such as the June, 2021 Black Sea Confrontations between Russian forces and HMS Defender), or cyberattacks will not qualify.
  • Intentional physical collisions, including aerial interceptions and naval ramming without the direct use of weaponry, such as the 2023 Black Sea incident—where a Russian Su-27 damaged a U.S.
  • MQ-9 Reaper drone's propeller, leading to its crash— will not qualify regardless of damage.

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Ativos nestes tópicos

BitcoinBTC$62,664.74+2.35%EthereumETH$1,650.73+1.66%SolanaSOL$65.16+1.67%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.78%XRPXRP$1.12+0.33%BNBBNB$595.52+1.68%

Notícias Relacionadas

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Regras

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of the United States and Russia between May 28 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between U.S. and Russian military forces.
  • Non-violent actions, such as airspace violations, firing of warning shots (such as the June, 2021 Black Sea Confrontations between Russian forces and HMS Defender), or cyberattacks will not qualify.
  • Intentional physical collisions, including aerial interceptions and naval ramming without the direct use of weaponry, such as the 2023 Black Sea incident—where a Russian Su-27 damaged a U.S.
  • MQ-9 Reaper drone's propeller, leading to its crash— will not qualify regardless of damage.