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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Geopolítica
  3. Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?

0.3% (24h)One-OffGeopolíticaRussia / Ukraine18d
PolymarketPolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Sim
Sim 1%
Qualidade do mercado

89 / 100

Alta qualidade
Volume 24h

47,9 mil €

Liquidez

24,7 mil €

Alta liquidez
Compra / Venda

1.4% / 1.5%

Spread

7.1%

Spread moderado
Variação 7d

-0.8%

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 1 minuto

17/12/25, 22:5430/06/26, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Yes1%

Regras

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine publicly agrees not to join NATO by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
  • Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
  • An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g.
  • If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).

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Regras

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine publicly agrees not to join NATO by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
  • Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
  • An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g.
  • If Ukraine not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).