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  • Início
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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Geopolítica
  3. Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by August 31?
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by August 31?

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by August 31?

GeopolíticaOne-OffRussia / UkraineEurope2m
PolymarketPolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Sim
Sim 8%
Qualidade do mercado

52 / 100

Qualidade média
Volume 24h

735,3 €

Liquidez

12,2 mil €

Liquidez média
Compra / Venda

7.0% / 9.0%

Spread

28.6%

Spread amplo
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 5 minutos

19/06/26, 1:1731/08/26, 23:59

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Yes8%

Regras

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine publicly agrees not to join NATO by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
  • Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
  • An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g.
  • If Ukraine agrees not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).

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Regras

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukraine publicly agrees not to join NATO by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • An official pledge by Ukraine not to join NATO will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the Russian Federation.
  • Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
  • An agreement by Ukraine not to join NATO for any amount of time will count (e.g.
  • If Ukraine agrees not to join NATO for 10 years this will qualify).