Probabilidade implícita atual
Raphael Glucksmann 66%+0.5ptLíder entre 10 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
72 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
121,9 €
Liquidez
82,3 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
0.1 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
11
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 minutos
13/07/26, 23:15 UTC31/10/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
0%
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The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is expected to hold a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections in October 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) to contest the 2027 French presidential elections.
- If no nominee is announced by April 17, 2027, 11:59PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
- Any replacement of the nominee before the 2027 French presidential elections will not change the resolution of the market.